Probability Calculator
Find the exact odds of every outcome of a roll, including Willpower re-rolls.
No Re-roll
51.25% successful
- 47.81%
- success without complication
- 2.66
- average successes
- -0.34
- average margin
- 4.71%
- Critical Win
- 43.10%
- Success
- 3.44%
- Messy Critical
- 39.53%
- Failure
- 2.50%
- Total Failure
- 6.73%
- Bestial Failure
Re-roll Failures
83.73% successful +32.48 ptscompared to no re-roll
- 79.00%
- success without complication
- 3.76
- average successes
- 0.76
- average margin
- 9.72%
- Critical Win
- 69.28%
- Success
- 4.73%
- Messy Critical
- 13.30%
- Failure
- 0.31%
- Total Failure
- 2.65%
- Bestial Failure
Maximize Crits
69.59% successful +18.34 ptscompared to no re-roll
- 64.38%
- success without complication
- 3.35
- average successes
- 0.35
- average margin
- 13.47%
- Critical Win
- 50.90%
- Success
- 5.22%
- Messy Critical
- 25.35%
- Failure
- 0.31%
- Total Failure
- 4.74%
- Bestial Failure
Avoid Messy Crits
50.03% successful -1.22 ptscompared to no re-roll
- 49.64%
- success without complication
- 2.58
- average successes
- -0.42
- average margin
- 4.71%
- Critical Win
- 44.93%
- Success
- 0.39%
- Messy Critical -3.04 ptscompared to no re-roll
- 40.74%
- Failure
- 2.50%
- Total Failure
- 6.73%
- Bestial Failure
Risky Avoid Messy
50.79% successful -0.46 ptscompared to no re-roll
- 49.66%
- success without complication
- 2.62
- average successes
- -0.38
- average margin
- 4.71%
- Critical Win
- 44.96%
- Success
- 1.12%
- Messy Critical -2.32 ptscompared to no re-roll
- 39.99%
- Failure
- 2.50%
- Total Failure
- 6.73%
- Bestial Failure